The GEM Rebounded Sharply, But The Trend Of The Main Board Was Tepid

It was mentioned yesterday that with the substantial shrinkage of the small board, it will start tomorrow investor It is important to pay attention to the top punching method of the small board. For the action of pushing the top, the rising speed will be relatively fast, and it can last for several days, giving people the feeling of going straight to the sky. Once this trend occurs, it can be regarded as pushing the top, mainly selling and clearing positions on a large scale; If the rising speed is not fast and there is some hesitation in the rising, it needs to be treated according to the circumstances, and the follow-up article will give countermeasures in a timely manner.

Today, we saw that the small board rose again under the leadership of the secondary IPO. The growth enterprise market rose by more than 4%, which was relatively fast. Compared with yesterday's analysis, for today's big rise, we should be aware that it is the small board that starts to reach the top, and the sign of reaching the top is that it continues to rise. To put it simply, if the market rises sharply today and continues to rise sharply tomorrow, it can basically be regarded as the beginning of roof rush. The author will give timely exit suggestions based on the situation of roof rush.

It is still important to mention that while the GEM rebounded vigorously, the main board's trend was tepid. The daily turnover extreme value of the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 1300 billion yuan, and the recent maximum turnover was only half of the extreme value. From the perspective of capacity, the main board's market should have a good sustainability. The small board is about to reach the top, but the main board is still rising slowly. This is the biggest difficulty in judging this round of market. This difficulty still needs us to find the answer through the next trend.

Since it is the top, it means that it is Stock disaster rebound Is there any basis for this judgment of the last round of rise since? Of course there are. At present, the price earnings ratio of Xiaoban is more than 100 times, and the corresponding turnover rate reached 7% on November 12. The reason for such a high turnover rate is that no one dares to hold Small board stock They are all in a fierce game. However, the result of the market dominated by gambling is bound to be ups and downs.

In theory, the turnover rate can continue to grow, even more than 10% of the turnover. Is this probability great? There is a probability, but it is not big, because a market changes hands more than 10% a day, and speculation is unimaginable. Therefore, the author suggests that we should not gamble on small probability events, but only deal with certain expectations. What is certain? As long as the extreme value can be released, the market will ebb, and the ebb will be accompanied by a disastrous decline. Based on the above analysis, the author believes that if the rise does not accelerate, there is no worry. As long as the small board can accelerate, it will be regarded as the last round of rise corresponding to the rebound since the stock market crash fell in early June.